Unemployment Edges Up to 33.7% Despite 101,000 New Jobs in the Third Quarter

Statistics South Africa released its Quarterly Labour Force Survey (QLFS) for the third quarter of 2026 on Tuesday, 10 November. The findings present a mixed picture for employers, HR leaders and policymakers: the economy is creating jobs, but not quickly enough to absorb the growing number of people looking for work.

The headline numbers

The official unemployment rate rose to 33.7% in the third quarter, up from 33.6% in the second quarter. The increase came even though the number of employed people grew by 101,000 to 16.8 million.

The reason lies in the size of the labour force. Between the second and third quarters, the labour force grew by 198,000, or 0.8%. The number of unemployed people rose by 97,000 to 8.6 million. The working-age population also increased by 117,000, or 0.3%.

In practical terms, job creation is happening, but the number of people actively seeking work is growing almost as fast. Every new job is being matched by a new jobseeker.

The formal sector carries the gains

The most encouraging finding for business is in the formal sector. Formal employment expanded by 268,000 to 12.3 million, a significant gain that suggests registered businesses are hiring.

The losses were concentrated elsewhere. Employment in the informal sector fell by 98,000, and employment in private households fell by 68,000. By industry, private households, agriculture and construction shed the most jobs during the quarter.

This split matters. Formal-sector jobs typically offer more security, benefits and access to skills development. A shift towards formal employment is positive for the quality of work, even if the overall unemployment rate has not improved.

The youth challenge persists

Young South Africans remain at the centre of the unemployment crisis. The number of unemployed people aged 15 to 34 fell by 23,000 to 5 million. However, the number of young people in employment also fell, by 5,000 to 5.5 million.

For HR leaders and learning and development practitioners, these figures reinforce the importance of structured youth employment programmes, learnerships and internships. With nearly as many young people unemployed as employed, the pipeline of future talent depends heavily on how effectively organisations open entry-level pathways.

Early warning signs for the fourth quarter

There are signals that the jobs picture may not improve soon. S&P Global’s purchasing managers’ index for October showed a drop in employment for the third consecutive month, with the rate of job losses the sharpest in six years. This suggests unemployment is likely to remain high in the final quarter of 2026.

The broader economic environment adds to the pressure. Higher fuel costs, rising producer prices and a slower growth outlook are squeezing business margins, which tends to make employers more cautious about adding staff.

What it means for HR and people leaders

For organisations across South Africa, the third-quarter data carries several implications.

First, the large pool of available talent does not mean hiring is easy. Skills mismatches remain a major barrier, and employers in technical and specialised fields continue to report difficulty filling roles despite high unemployment.

Second, the growth in formal employment suggests that some sectors are expanding. HR teams in those sectors should prepare for greater competition for experienced talent, particularly in roles linked to infrastructure, energy and digital services.

Third, the losses in agriculture and construction are a reminder that sector-specific pressures, from weather to input costs, can quickly affect employment. Workforce planning should account for this kind of volatility. Organisations in seasonal or project-based industries may benefit from flexible staffing models, multi-skilling and closer coordination between operations and HR, so that they can respond quickly when conditions change without losing critical skills.

Fourth, the youth figures underline the role business can play in national development. Programmes such as the Youth Employment Service, learnerships and graduate development schemes offer employers a way to build future capability while contributing to economic inclusion.

Finally, retention deserves renewed attention. In a cautious hiring environment, keeping skilled employees engaged and developing them internally is often more cost-effective than recruiting externally.

The bigger picture

South Africa’s labour market has shown it can create jobs, as the formal-sector gains demonstrate. The challenge is scale. With the labour force growing steadily, the economy needs sustained, faster growth to bring unemployment down meaningfully.

For HR leaders, the message is to plan for an environment of high unemployment, persistent skills gaps and cautious business sentiment, while recognising that pockets of growth are creating real opportunities for organisations ready to build their talent pipelines now.

Source: Statistics South Africa, Quarterly Labour Force Survey, Quarter 3: 2026 – https://www.statssa.gov.za/publications/P0211/P02113rdQuarter2026.pdf

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